Rawstocks Desk Record

The edge is in the record.

Every closed Desk alert is kept here after the outcome is known. Winners stay. Losses stay. The point is not to manufacture a perfect-looking curve — it is to make the record inspectable.

Closed trades300complete record sample

Win rate87.0%profitable closed positions

Average win+39.32%option contract return

Average loss−43.56%option contract return

Expectancy / trade+28.55%mean % across all closed trades

Win / loss ratio0.90xaverage winner ÷ average loser

Cumulative contract return

Sequential closed trades

Performance diagnostics

Current sample

Wins261

Losses39

Best trade+757.00%

Worst trade−99.10%

Breakeven win rate52.6%

Current edge+28.55%

Trade ledger

Every closed call. In sequence.

This table is the underlying record behind the summary statistics above. Rows remain visible after losses and the feed continues to grow as new Desk trades close.

How to read this: every row is a closed position posted to the Rawstocks Discord in real time. P/L is the percentage return on the option contract itself. It should not be interpreted as a portfolio return.

Date	Instrument	Expiry	Result	P/L
10/21	SPXW 7665 PUT	10-23	WIN	+29.40%
10/21	QQQ 726 PUT	10-21	WIN	+73.30%
10/21	QQQ 726 PUT	10-21	WIN	+48.50%
10/21	QQQ 726 PUT	10-21	WIN	+33.70%
10/21	QQQ 727 PUT	10-21	WIN	+51.30%
10/21	NVDA 223 PUT	10-21	WIN	+20.50%
10/21	QQQ 726 PUT	10-21	LOSS	−6.40%
10/21	QQQ 726 PUT	10-21	WIN	+7.20%
10/21	SPXW 7710 PUT	10-21	LOSS	−85.00%
10/21	SPXW 7760 CALL	10-21	WIN	+29.40%
10/21	SPXW 7760 CALL	10-21	WIN	+38.80%
10/21	SPY 771 CALL	10-22	WIN	+22.50%
10/21	SPY 771 CALL	10-22	WIN	+11.30%
10/21	SPY 772 CALL	10-22	WIN	+10.70%
10/21	TSLA 350 CALL	01-15	WIN	+56.00%
10/20	SPXW 7730 CALL	10-21	WIN	+43.20%
10/20	SPY 771 CALL	10-21	WIN	+209.90%
10/20	SPY 718 PUT	10-21	LOSS	−15.10%
10/20	SPY 771 CALL	10-21	WIN	+104.20%
10/20	SPY 761 PUT	10-20	LOSS	−65.40%
10/20	SPY 771 CALL	10-21	WIN	+87.30%
10/20	SPY 771 CALL	10-21	WIN	+38.00%
10/20	QQQ 710 CALL	10-20	WIN	+13.60%
10/20	SPY 761 PUT	10-20	WIN	+0.00%
10/20	QQQ 715 PUT	10-20	WIN	+12.00%
10/19	SPY 767 PUT	10-19	LOSS	−63.70%
10/19	QQQ 718 PUT	10-21	LOSS	−3.80%
10/19	AMD 545 CALL	10-19	WIN	+42.90%
10/19	AMD 545 CALL	10-19	WIN	+17.10%
10/19	SPX 7700 PUT	10-19	WIN	+7.00%
10/19	SPX 7700 PUT	10-19	WIN	+11.80%
10/19	SPX 7690 PUT	10-19	WIN	+6.90%
10/19	SPXW 7655 PUT	10-19	WIN	+9.10%
10/19	SPX 7690 PUT	10-19	WIN	+2.90%
10/19	SPX 7700 PUT	10-19	WIN	+9.20%
10/19	SPX 7700 PUT	10-19	WIN	+6.00%
10/19	META 700 CALL	10-23	WIN	+16.30%
10/19	SPX 7690 PUT	10-19	WIN	+52.30%
10/19	SPX 7690 PUT	10-19	WIN	+63.10%
10/16	SPX 7640 CALL	10-16	WIN	+10.70%
10/16	SPX 7640 CALL	10-16	WIN	+12.40%
10/16	SPX 7640 PUT	10-16	LOSS	−63.10%
10/16	SPX 7650 PUT	10-16	WIN	+19.40%
10/16	SPX 7650 PUT	10-16	WIN	+10.40%
10/16	SPX 7650 PUT	10-16	WIN	+6.40%
10/16	SPX 7650 PUT	10-16	WIN	+5.90%
10/16	SPX 7650 PUT	10-16	WIN	+11.90%
10/16	SPX 7660 PUT	10-16	WIN	+7.20%
10/16	SPX 7660 PUT	10-16	WIN	+40.20%
10/16	SPX 7660 PUT	10-16	WIN	+19.50%
10/16	SPX 7665 PUT	10-16	WIN	+25.40%
10/16	SPX 7665 PUT	10-16	WIN	+21.50%
10/16	SPX 7665 PUT	10-16	WIN	+16.30%
10/16	SPX 7665 PUT	10-16	WIN	+15.60%
10/16	SPX 7665 PUT	10-16	WIN	+20.70%
10/16	SPX 7665 PUT	10-16	WIN	+13.40%
10/16	SPX 7665 PUT	10-16	WIN	+11.00%
10/16	QQQ 717 PUT	10-16	WIN	+34.60%
10/16	QQQ 717 PUT	10-16	WIN	+24.60%
10/16	QQQ 717 PUT	10-16	LOSS	−0.10%
10/16	SPX 7705 PUT	10-16	WIN	+11.80%
10/16	SPX 7705 PUT	10-16	WIN	+8.70%
10/16	SPX 7725 PUT	10-16	WIN	+20.90%
10/16	SPX 7725 PUT	10-16	WIN	+12.30%
10/16	SPX 7725 PUT	10-16	WIN	+11.10%
10/15	COIN 200 CALL	10-16	LOSS	−74.70%
10/15	SPX 7750 PUT	10-15	WIN	+81.40%
10/15	SPX 7720 PUT	10-15	WIN	+0.00%
10/15	NOW 149 CALL	10-23	WIN	+5.10%
10/15	IWM 275 CALL	10-16	WIN	+11.10%
10/15	SPY 775 CALL	10-16	WIN	+38.80%
10/15	SPY 775 CALL	10-16	WIN	+26.50%
10/15	QQQ 716 PUT	10-23	WIN	+0.00%
10/14	SPY 778 CALL	10-14	LOSS	−99.10%
10/14	SPY 771 CALL	10-14	LOSS	−84.80%
10/14	SPX 7695 PUT	10-14	WIN	+4.10%
10/14	SPX 7700 PUT	10-14	WIN	+19.80%
10/14	SPX 7695 PUT	10-14	WIN	+23.40%
10/14	SPX 7695 PUT	10-14	WIN	+29.40%
10/14	SPX 7770 PUT	10-14	WIN	+11.70%
10/14	SPX 7770 PUT	10-14	WIN	+10.80%
10/14	SPX 7770 PUT	10-14	WIN	+5.40%
10/14	SPX 7770 PUT	10-14	WIN	+8.10%
10/14	SPY 772 PUT	10-14	WIN	+11.20%
10/14	SPY 772 PUT	10-14	WIN	+9.60%
10/13	SPXW 7770 PUT	10-13	LOSS	−93.70%
10/13	SPX 7800 PUT	10-13	WIN	+30.10%
10/13	SPY 779 PUT	10-13	WIN	+20.00%
10/13	SPX 7800 PUT	10-13	WIN	+16.00%
10/13	SPX 7800 PUT	10-13	WIN	+14.00%
10/13	SPX 7800 PUT	10-13	LOSS	−5.50%
10/13	SPY 779 PUT	10-13	WIN	+18.70%
10/13	SPY 778 CALL	10-13	LOSS	−69.40%
10/13	SPXW 7770 PUT	10-13	WIN	+83.30%
10/13	SPXW 7770 CALL	10-13	WIN	+0.00%
10/13	GOOGL 358 CALL	10-16	WIN	+32.00%
10/13	GOOGL 358 CALL	10-16	WIN	+15.10%
10/12	COIN 180 CALL	10-16	WIN	+30.90%
10/12	SPXW 7810 CALL	10-12	WIN	+90.00%
10/12	SPXW 7805 PUT	10-12	WIN	+150.00%

261 wins · 39 losses across 300 closed trades Every row timestamped in Discord. Join and scroll back.

Interpretation

Win rate alone is not enough.

A strong win rate can still produce poor economics if the losses are too large. The useful question is whether the current hit rate is high enough relative to the average win and average loss.

Average outcome matters

Across the current record the average winner is approximately +39.32% and the average loser is approximately −43.56%. Based on that payoff relationship, the estimated breakeven win rate is approximately 52.6%.

Sample size matters

The record currently contains 300 closed positions. A small sample can produce misleadingly strong or weak statistics, so these figures should be interpreted in the context of the number of completed trades.

Your execution will not match the record exactly

Fills: options spreads move quickly, and a worse fill can materially change the percentage result.
Sizing: contract-return percentage is not the same thing as account return. Position size determines the actual portfolio impact.
Timing: entering even minutes after an alert can create a materially different outcome on fast-moving contracts.
Past performance: this record describes what happened. It does not guarantee what happens next.

Risk disclosure

Trading options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Options can expire worthless. It is possible to lose the entire amount paid for a position in a single session.

Rawstocks LLC is a trading education and analysis community. We are not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer, and nothing published here constitutes personalized investment advice. Past performance does not indicate future results. Read the full disclosure.